BAML Continues To See $1,400 Gold By Year End Despite A Stronger U.S. Dollar
Tuesday, 3 July 2018 04:10 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

The second largest bank in America sees further upside potential in the U.S. dollar, but it is also not changing its forecast for gold or silver.

In a report Monday, analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML), reiterated their forecast for gold prices to average the fourth quarter around $1,400 an ounce. At the same time, the bank sees silver prices averaging $17.50 in the final three months of 2018.

The bank said in its report that growing geopolitical tensions, escalating global trade wars and rising inflation pressures will remains supportive of the precious metals.

œWe note that the business cycle is maturing and the ongoing uncertainty around trade is not helping at this junction, the analysts said in their report. œAt the same time, inflation has been picking up (shorting Treasuries is one of the most crowded trades), a combination which may ultimately bring gold buyers back into the market.

The bank™s forecasts come as gold prices pushed to a new 12-months low at the start of a shortened trading week. Silver fell to a fresh seven-month low. August gold futures settled Monday at $1,241.70 an ounce, down 1% on the day; meanwhile, September silver futures settled the session at $15.835 an ounce, down nearly 2% on the day.

The analysts said that the U.S. dollar remains the most significant risk for the precious metals market. The U.S. dollar index is trading near a one-year high, at 95.05 points.

Looking ahead, the analysts said that they see further room for the U.S. dollar to rise against the euro, which has the biggest weighting in the dollar index. BAML sees higher U.S. interest rates driving the U.S. dollar higher through the rest of the year.

œThe DXY remains about 8-9% cheap relative to medium-term fair value, the analysts said. œFiscal stimulus is driving US growth higher relative to the rest of the world, where growth is sputtering. The market is still priced well below the Fed's projected rate path through 2020, which provides potential for the USD to strengthen on US-specific factors.

While global trade issues remains a threat, the analysts said that the U.S. economy is in good shape to weather the storm.

Source: Kitco

RELATED NEWS

Wall St., Main St. Expect Gold To Keep Shining
Monday, 10 December 2018 13:04 WIB

Wall Street dan Main Street keduanya melihat emas untuk membangun pergerakan minggu lalu untuk bergerak lebih tinggi selama minggu depan, berdasarkan survei emas Kitco News. Pengamat memperkirakan laporan yang lebih lemah dari perkiraan pada payroll nonfarm AS akan terus menawarkan dukungan kepada ...

Can Gold Beat The December Curse?
Tuesday, 4 December 2018 12:00 WIB

Seorang analis komoditas mengatakan dia sedang menunggu untuk melihat apakah pasar emas dapat mengalahkan kutukan Desember seiring pasar memulai bulan dengan catatan yang kuat, diperdagangkan tepat di bawah level resisten kritis $ 1.240 per ounce. Dalam tiga tahun terakhir, Desember bukanlah bulan ...

Gold Looks Good In 2019 But Needs Inflation To Break $1,300 - IHS Markit
Tuesday, 27 November 2018 05:37 WIB

Meskipun pasar emas dapat diperdagangkan di atas kisaran enam bulan saat ini pada tahun 2019, investor seharusnya tidak mengharapkan harga untuk menembus orbit mereka, menurut salah satu perusahaan riset internasional. Dalam wawancara telepon dengan Kitco News, KC Chang, ekonom senior di IHS Markit...

Gold Is Just Getting Started - Scotiabank
Tuesday, 20 November 2018 05:51 WIB

Meskipun pasar emas tidak mampu mempertahankan momentum Oktober-nya, satu bank Kanada belum siap untuk menyerah pada logam mulia ini. Analis di Scotiabank mengatakan bahwa mereka melihat potensi lebih lanjut untuk logam kuning seiring bank melihat gelombang sentimen risk-off membentang sampai pasar...

Gold Prices May Fall Further as US Dollar Recovery Continues
Monday, 12 November 2018 16:36 WIB

Harga emas turun bahkan meski imbal hasil obligasi mengikuti pergerakan lebih rendah saham dan jalur kenaikan suku bunga acuan yang tersirat dalam berjangka Fed Funds mendatar pada hari Jumat. Dolar AS kembali menemukan daya tarik havennya terhadap latar belakang risk-off, dan kenaikannya menggerogo...

POPULAR NEWS
Saturday, 15 December 2018 04:16
Hong Kong stocks close week with sharp losses
Friday, 14 December 2018 08:55
Hong Kong Stocks Open Sharply Lower
ANOTHER NEWS
Tokyo Stocks Open Higher With Eyes on US Fed Meeting
Monday, 17 December 2018 07:41 WIB Tokyo stocks opened higher on Monday as investor focus shifted from concerns about the global economy, which had weighed on Wall Street, to a US Federal Reserve meeting this week. The benchmark Nikkei 225 index was up 0.18 percent or 39.06 points...

DISCLAIMER

Seluruh materi atau konten yang tersaji di dalam website ini hanya bersifat informatif saja, dan tidak dimaksudkan sebagai pegangan serta keputusan dalam investasi atau jenis transaksi lainnya. Kami tidak bertanggung jawab atas segala akibat yang timbul dari penyajian konten tersebut. Semua pihak yang mengunjungi website ini harus membaca Terms of Service (Syarat dan Ketentuan Layanan) terlebih dahulu dan dihimbau untuk melakukan analisis secara independen serta memperoleh saran dari para ahli dibidangnya.