Markets are looking for the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut again, potentially as soon  as next month, so today's  labour force survey for September will be very closely watched (Markets are pricing 10bp of easing at the 5 Nov RBA meeting, and a terminal rate of 0.44% (RBA cash rate currently at 0.75%). Australia Sept Employment +14.7k (Reuters poll: +15.0k) - A miss. Australia Sept Unemployment rate +5.2 pct, (Reuters poll: +5.3/prior 5.2%) and bullish. Australia Sept Full-Time employment +26.2k  vs prior 15.5k, bullish. Australia Sept Participation rate +66.1 pct,...

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RECENT NEWS

The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey published by the Conference Board today revealed that the consumer confidence weakened in June with the headline Confidence Index dropping to 121.5 in June from 131.3 in May. Other data from the U.S. revealed that new home sales in May contracted by 7.8% to fall short of the market expectation for an increase of 1.9%.  With the initial reaction, the...

Output from Germany's private sector remained unchanged in June, as a decline in manufacturing was offset by continued growth in services. A flash reading of the country's composite Purchasing Managers' Index stayed at 52.6 in June, IHS Markit said on Friday, a slightly better reading than economists had forecast. Manufacturing production contracted for the fifth month in a row, while...

The UK retail sales came in at -0.5% over the month in May vs. -0.5% expected and -0.1% previous. The core retail sales stripping the auto motor fuel sales stood at -0.3% m/m vs. -0.5% expected and -0.3% previous. On an annualized basis, the UK retail sales rose 2.3% in May versus 2.7% expected while the core retail sales also advanced 2.2% in the reported month versus 4.7% previous and 2.5%...

Falling air fares and car prices saw U.K. inflation return to the Bank of Englands target last month. Consumer prices rose 2% from a year earlier, down from 2.1% in April, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday. Core inflation slowed to 1.7% from 1.8%. Air fares, which surged in an Easter-related boost in April, fell 5.2% in May compared with a 10% increase a year earlier....

Reports of the death of the American consumer were greatly exaggerated as the May retail sales data rose at a solid pace and the decline in the prior month was revised to show a gain. Retail sales increased 0.5% in May, with broad-based gains, the Commerce Department said Friday. Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a solid 0.7% gain. There was a big rise in auto sales, but the even...

Australia central bank ended an almost three-year pause last week, resuming interest rate cuts to try to drive the jobless rate down toward 4.5% -- its new estimate of full employment -- and revive inflation. The statistics bureau released the data in Sydney on Thursday. Unemployment rate 5.2%; est. 5.1%. Full-time jobs rose 2,400. Part-time jobs rose 39,800. Participation rate 66.0%; est....

The data published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday revealed that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), fell to 1.8% in May from 2% in April and fell short of the market expectation of 1.9%. With the initial reaction, the US Dollar Index extended its losses and was last down 0.1% on the day at 96.63. On a monthly basis, Further details of the report showed...

Australia debt-laden households responded more with concern than enthusiasm to the Reserve Banks interest-rate cut, according to surveys conducted since last weeks move. Westpac Banking Corp.s consumer sentiment index fell 0.6% in June, while Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.s weekly report showed a 2% drop, the lenders said Wednesday. Westpac...

ASIA
China's Factory Outlook Improves More than Expected in September
Monday, 30 September 2019 09:02 WIB A report on the health of China™s manufacturing sector improved in September, although it was still below the line indicating contraction. The...
UNITED STATES
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows as Exports, Imports Both Plummet
Thursday, 6 June 2019 19:54 WIB The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in April as both exports and imports tumbled, highlighting the impact of President Donald Trump™s tariffs...
EUROPE
German Services Hold Up Output as Manufacturers Struggle
Friday, 21 June 2019 14:53 WIB Output from Germany's private sector remained unchanged in June, as a decline in manufacturing was offset by continued growth in services. A flash...
GLOBAL ECONOMY
Trump Mengatakan China Akan `Mengurangi dan Mengeluarkan' Tarif Impor Kendaraan
Monday, 3 December 2018 12:08 WIB Presiden AS Donald Trump mengatakan China telah setuju untuk "mengurangi dan menghapus" tarif terhadap mobil-mobil Amerika dari 40 persen saat...

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