Markets are looking for the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut again, potentially as soon  as next month, so today's  labour force survey for September will be very closely watched (Markets are pricing 10bp of easing at the 5 Nov RBA meeting, and a terminal rate of 0.44% (RBA cash rate currently at 0.75%). Australia Sept Employment +14.7k (Reuters poll: +15.0k) - A miss. Australia Sept Unemployment rate +5.2 pct, (Reuters poll: +5.3/prior 5.2%) and bullish. Australia Sept Full-Time employment +26.2k  vs prior 15.5k, bullish. Australia Sept Participation rate +66.1 pct,...

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RECENT NEWS

The Conference Board (CB) today announced that consumer confidence remained strong in August with the headline Consumer Confidence Index easing slightly to 135.1 in August from 135.8 but beating the market expectation of 129.5, per Reuters. Further details of the publication revealed that the 1-year inflation expectations rose to 5% from July's 4.6% (revised from 4.7%) and the Present Situation...

U.S. factory orders for business equipment increased in July for a third month, at the same time shipments of such goods plunged the most since October 2016 in a sign that capital investment remains tepid in light of slower global growth and a ratcheting up of trade tensions. Bookings for non-military capital goods orders excluding aircraft -- a proxy for business investment -- rose 0.4%...

Shrinking order books and expectations for a decline in output signal companies in Europes largest economy are bracing for a possible recession. German manufacturing shrank for an eighth month in August, barely offset by still-solid services, according to IHS Markit. Overall business confidence declined and orders fell for the third time in four months. A Purchasing...

Frances private sector unexpectedly gained speed in August as solid performance in services was complemented by a return to growth in manufacturing. IHS Markits Purchasing Managers Index rose to 52.7 from 51.9 in July, defying economists predictions for a slight weakening. The increase was driven by a broad-based pickup in demand, with new orders expanding at the fastest...

Two gauges of manufacturing sentiment held their own in August, according to data released Thursday. The Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index fell slightly to a reading of 16.8 in August from 21.8 in July. Economists had expected a much bigger drop to 11.1, according to Econoday. The Empire State Index, meanwhile inched up at a reading of 4.8 in August from 4.3 in July, the New York Fed said....

Retail sales grew by more than expected in the US in July. US Dollar Index gains traction on the back of upbeat data. According to the data released by the US Census Bureau on Thursday, retail sales in the United States increased by 0.7% on a monthly basis in July and beat the market expectation of 0.3%. With the initial market reaction, the Greenback gathered strength and the US Dollar Index...

British retail sales in July grew 3.3% compared to a year ago, according to data released Thursday. Economists polled by FactSet expected a 2.6% rise. The Office for National Statistics said both value and volume rose in July, and department stores saw the first increase this year. Source: marketwatch

Australia's labor market continued to defy gravity in July, adding almost three times the forecast number of jobs, while unemployment remained unchanged as the labor force swelled further. Jobs rose 41,100 from June, compared with economists' forecast of a 14,000 gain; the unemployment rate held at 5.2%, matching estimates Full-time positions jumped 34,500; part-time roles gained...

ASIA
China's Factory Outlook Improves More than Expected in September
Monday, 30 September 2019 09:02 WIB A report on the health of China™s manufacturing sector improved in September, although it was still below the line indicating contraction. The...
UNITED STATES
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows as Exports, Imports Both Plummet
Thursday, 6 June 2019 19:54 WIB The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in April as both exports and imports tumbled, highlighting the impact of President Donald Trump™s tariffs...
EUROPE
German Services Hold Up Output as Manufacturers Struggle
Friday, 21 June 2019 14:53 WIB Output from Germany's private sector remained unchanged in June, as a decline in manufacturing was offset by continued growth in services. A flash...
GLOBAL ECONOMY
Trump Mengatakan China Akan `Mengurangi dan Mengeluarkan' Tarif Impor Kendaraan
Monday, 3 December 2018 12:08 WIB Presiden AS Donald Trump mengatakan China telah setuju untuk "mengurangi dan menghapus" tarif terhadap mobil-mobil Amerika dari 40 persen saat...

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