Investors have been plunged back into a gloomy mood over the German economy on concern the coronavirus outbreak in China will disrupt global trade. ZEW's index of expectations for the next six months decreased to 8.7 in February, below even the most pessimistic estimate in a Bloomberg survey. The poll suggests confidence is fading that Europe's largest economy can stem a manufacturing recession that has lasted more than a year. "Economic development is rather fragile at the moment, ZEW President Achim Wambach said in a statement. The outlook for export-intensive sectors has deteriorated...

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RECENT NEWS

German manufacturing activity grew at the weakest pace in six years in the month of March, the latest manufacturing activity report from IHS/Markit research showed this Friday. The German manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) slipped deeper into contraction territory and arrived at 44.7 versus 48.0 expected and 47.6 previous. Meanwhile, services PMI dropped to a two-month low level of...

The UK retail sales recorded an unexpected growth of 0.4% m/m in February, beating market expectations of -0.4% by a big margin. Meanwhile, while core retail sales stripping the auto motor fuel sales also bettered market expectations and rose 0.2% m/m during the reported month. On an annualized basis, the UK retail sales growth stood at 4.0%, down from 4.2% previous but still better than 3.3%...

Australia's central bank is under increasing pressure to resume interest-rate cuts after a 2-1/2 year hiatus; it has used the strength of the labor market -- strong hiring and low unemployment -- to resist those calls. If employment holds up, then the RBA will retain its room to maneuver. But if it weakens over several months -- the data's volatility suggests one reading would be insufficient --...

The UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate came in at 1.9% in February, up from Januarys 1.8% and bettering the 1.8% print expected, the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the core inflation gauge (excluding volatile food and energy items) arrived at 1.8% y/y versus 1.9% booked in January while missing the consensus forecast. The monthly figures...

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Tuesday, the UK's average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses met expectations, arriving at 3.4% 3m y/y versus 3.4% last and 3.4% expected while the gauge including bonuses came in at 3.4% 3m y/y versus 3.4% previous and 3.2% expected. The Kingdoms official jobless rate dropped to 3.9% in January, while the claimant count change showed a...

Australia's central bank is holding fire on interest rates as it awaits a resolution to the divergence between strong hiring and decelerating economic growth. The Reserve Bank said the labor market is "particularly important" to the outlook and reiterated there's considerable uncertainty over consumption, minutes of its March 5 policy meeting released in Sydney Tuesday...

Orders placed with U.S. factories for business equipment rebounded in January by the most in six months, a sign demand is withstanding concerns about slower global growth and the trade war with China.  Non-military capital goods orders excluding aircraft -- a proxy for business investment -- gained 0.8 percent, after a 0.9 percent decline the prior month, according to Commerce...

A key measure of underlying U.S. inflation unexpectedly eased in February amid falling prices for autos and prescription drugs, giving the Federal Reserve more room to stick to its plan for being patient on raising interest rates. Excluding food and energy, the so-called core consumer price index rose 0.1 percent from the prior month and 2.1 percent from a year earlier, according to a...

ASIA
China's Factory Outlook Improves More than Expected in September
Monday, 30 September 2019 09:02 WIB A report on the health of China™s manufacturing sector improved in September, although it was still below the line indicating contraction. The...
UNITED STATES
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows as Exports, Imports Both Plummet
Thursday, 6 June 2019 19:54 WIB The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in April as both exports and imports tumbled, highlighting the impact of President Donald Trump™s tariffs...
EUROPE
German Services Hold Up Output as Manufacturers Struggle
Friday, 21 June 2019 14:53 WIB Output from Germany's private sector remained unchanged in June, as a decline in manufacturing was offset by continued growth in services. A flash...
GLOBAL ECONOMY
First Phase of US-China Trade Deal Announced
Monday, 16 December 2019 09:09 WIB A trade deal between the United States and China, separately announced Friday by both countries, will be such a boon for American farmers they will...

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